Des Moines Menace vs Minneapolis City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
DES
2 - 0
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
MIC
34%
24%
43%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
DES
5 - 0
TEU
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
DES
5 - 1
SLO
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Minneapolis City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MIN
0 - 2
CLE
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MIN
3 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MEC
1 - 2
MIN
30%
24%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
MIN
2 - 3
JOY
82%
12%
5%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
DUL
1 - 6
MIN
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +2 |